Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin slides toward $76,000 as Binance hack, ETF outflows and tech weakness collide

A record exchange theft, heavy spot ETF redemptions and falling chip stocks pushed the price to about 39% below its October 2025 peak.

10 min read
A gold Bitcoin coin stands on a dark surface in front of a blurred monitor showing a red and green price chart trending downward.
Image by RoyBuri from Pixabay

Bitcoin fell below $77,000 on Nov. 3, 2026, with feeds showing roughly $76,455 to $76,935. The latest leg down followed the $6.3 billion Binance hack, $398.6 million of U.S. spot ETF outflows on Nov. 2 and a weak day for tech stocks. The price sits about 39% below its $126,210 record.

Bitcoin slipped below $77,000 on Nov. 3, 2026, trading near $76,455 according to crypto.news. That snapshot showed a decline of 2.19% over 24 hours and 3.59% over seven days. The move followed a week in which a record exchange theft, heavy withdrawals from U.S. spot Bitcoin funds and a weak session for tech stocks arrived almost on top of one another.

The size of the drop matters less than what it shows about the market's structure. The documented pressures are real, but no study has separated their effects, and the $398.6 million that left the ETFs on Nov. 2 is small next to the funds' assets. All prices here are snapshots from Nov. 2–3, and different data feeds disagree by the hour.

A modest move inside a much larger slide

Price feeds do not agree to the dollar. Coinbase listed $76,495.70 on Nov. 3, while CoinGecko showed $76,935 with a 24-hour range of roughly $76,592 to $78,733. Coinbase's page also showed about $78,024 a day earlier, $79,627 a week earlier, $84,540 a month earlier and $101,472 a year earlier, which puts the one-year change at about −24.4%.

Seen against the whole of 2026, the latest drop is a small step. Crypto.news reported that Bitcoin closed the first half of the year near $60,000, down from about $93,000 in January. NYDIG's second-quarter review put the first-half return at −32.9% and linked the decline to expectations of tighter liquidity around the change in Federal Reserve leadership.

The low for the year came on June 5, when Bitcoin touched $59,100 after a strong U.S. jobs report revived fears of Fed rate hikes, according to Analytics Insight. That exact figure appears in only one source in the research, so it should be read as approximate. By Oct. 6, 2026, Crypto Briefing reported, the price had recovered to about $85,300, roughly 32% below the peak.

On Jaroha's arithmetic, a price of $76,455 is about 29% above the June low. The June low itself was about 53% below the record. The roughly 50% peak-to-trough fall in 2026 is deep by any ordinary standard. Coinpaprika notes, however, that earlier Bitcoin bear markets fell 77% to 84%.

The Binance hack: the trigger most accounts name

On Oct. 29, about $6.3 billion was stolen from Binance, one of the world's largest crypto exchanges. CNBC reported that the FBI attributed the theft to North Korean actors it identifies as TraderTraitor. Wikipedia's entry on the incident, a developing page, calls it the largest crypto theft recorded, ahead of the $1.5 billion Bybit hack of February 2025.

Not all of the loss sits in Bitcoin. Wikipedia puts about $3.8 billion of the theft on the Ethereum chain, and CoinDesk, citing TRM Labs, reported that 18,270 BTC, worth about $1.47 billion, was taken. Stablecoin issuers could act on part of the haul: about $3 billion of stolen stablecoins was frozen by Tether, Circle and partners. CoinDesk noted that bitcoin and ether cannot be frozen in the same way.

Markets reacted fast. Yahoo Finance reported that Bitcoin fell about 5% on the news to below $77,000 on Friday, Oct. 30. Binance suspended withdrawals after what it called a complex attack, then resumed them in phases on Nov. 1, starting with bitcoin.

Did customers run?

CNBC, citing Binance's own post, reported that $4.65 billion was withdrawn after the reopening against $1.01 billion deposited. The net outflow of $3.64 billion equals 2.1% of the exchange's $171 billion in assets. Binance said it would absorb the loss rather than pass it on to users.

That share is modest, which could limit contagion, but it is too early to say. The Binance details rest largely on the exchange's own statements as relayed by CNBC, CoinDesk and CNN, and the research found no independent audit. It also found no evidence on whether the stolen 18,270 BTC has moved or been sold, which would add direct selling pressure.

What the ETF outflows do and do not mean

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are funds listed on American exchanges that hold actual bitcoin. A net outflow means more shares were redeemed than created that day. According to Farside Investors data, the funds recorded $398.6 million in net outflows on Monday, Nov. 2.

The total came almost entirely from one product. TokenPost reported that BlackRock's IBIT lost $405.3 million while Fidelity's FBTC took in $6.7 million, and the other ten tracked funds recorded no flows. IBIT's outflow was therefore larger than the net total. CryptoBreaking described it as the fund's biggest since June 26, when it lost $444.5 million.

The Nov. 2 outflow followed a larger one. Outflows reached $643.3 million on Friday, Oct. 30, the biggest single-day figure since June, according to Crypto Times and TokenPost. Some outlets round that number to $643.2 million, and one described it as covering Oct. 31 and Nov. 1, though U.S. ETFs do not trade on weekends. Oct. 30 is the date most sources use.

The scale question

Net assets across the funds stood at about $98.6 billion, according to Altcoin Buzz. Jaroha's calculation puts the Nov. 2 outflow at about 0.4% of that figure and the Oct. 30 outflow at about 0.65%. TokenPost's tally put the latest five trading days at −$711.3 million, against cumulative net inflows since launch of $56.649 billion.

Longer-run totals are close to flat. Cointelegraph reporting carried by Finwire put October's net flows at about −$515 million and the funds' 2026 total at about −$38 million. Daily trading volume was around $24 billion to $25 billion on Coinbase and CoinGecko, so the outflows are a small slice of the market's activity.

Cause, effect or both

Crypto Briefing explains the mechanism this way: when redemptions exceed creations, fund issuers may have to sell underlying bitcoin, which adds selling pressure. Because IBIT dominates the daily totals, one fund's decisions can swing the headline number.

The direction of causation is unresolved. Falling prices and rising uncertainty can themselves prompt redemptions, which then add to the pressure. Nothing in the available evidence separates the two. The outflows are better read as a gauge of institutional mood than as the single cause of the decline.

Industry voices offer a milder reading. Laevitas head of markets Rick Maeda, quoted by BigGo, called the redemptions position trimming rather than abandonment and expects outflows to level off as Binance recovers. Brickken CEO Edwin Mata told Cointelegraph he would not read them as a rejection of digital assets, saying investors cut exposure when uncertainty rises, especially after events that raise questions about market infrastructure. Both are commercial firms, so their views are opinions rather than independent evidence.

Two cautions apply to the ETF data. Farside and SoSoValue report the same total, so several outlets repeating it is one data lineage, not independent confirmation. And Outlook Money, citing an analyst, reported that long-term holders' balances fell by 248,000 BTC in the third quarter while spot ETFs added 79,800 BTC. If accurate, that suggests much of the supply came from holders outside the funds, though it rests on a single article and a single analyst.

Liquidations and weak tech stocks added fuel

A liquidation happens when an exchange forcibly closes a leveraged futures position because the trader's margin has run out. Long positions are bets on rising prices, so a falling market forces them to close by selling. Crypto Times, citing CoinGlass, reported about $1.57 billion in liquidations over 24 hours on Oct. 30, with about 242,000 traders affected.

Other outlets cite smaller totals for other windows, such as $427 million as of Oct. 31 or $226.49 million over a later 24 hours. These do not contradict each other, because the time windows differ, and they are not added together here. CryptoTicker's commentary describes a feedback loop: each leg down liquidates more leveraged longs, which pushes prices lower. That is an explanation, not a measurement.

A Nasdaq connection

On Nov. 2, the Nasdaq fell 1.1% and the S&P 500 fell 0.5%, while the Dow rose 0.4%, according to Motley Fool's market coverage. The same page showed Bitcoin down 1.9% that evening at $76,732 and down 4.1% over seven days. Analytics Insight, citing CoinDesk, also described a chip-stock rout deepening ahead of the midterm vote.

Commentators describe Bitcoin as trading like a high-beta Nasdaq stock, meaning one that tends to swing harder than the index. That is an opinion, though the 2026 pattern is consistent with it. The evidence shows the two moving down together on Nov. 2. It does not show that tech weakness drove Bitcoin.

How far the price sits from the record

Coinbase lists the all-time high as $126,210.50, set on Oct. 6, 2025. Other feeds place the peak between about $126,080 and $126,223, a spread of under 0.15%, according to Crypto Briefing. The calculations below use $126,210 as the reference.

Distance from the $126,210 all-time high at selected prices (Jaroha calculations, Nov. 2026)
Price Dollar gap % below ATH Gain needed to reach ATH
$77,000 $49,210 39.0% +63.9%
$76,455 $49,755 39.4% +65.1%
$76,000 $50,210 39.8% +66.1%
$59,100 (June 5 low) $67,110 53.2% +113.5%

The table shows why the move from $77,000 to $76,000 changes the picture so little. The gap to the record barely shifts, from 39.0% to 39.8%. The asymmetry is the larger point: a 39% fall requires a gain of about 65% to recover, and the June low would have required more than a doubling.

What analysts watch next, and what remains unknown

Crypto.news reported that analysts see support near $76,400 to $76,500, then at $75,000 and at the 50-week moving average near $75,602. They see resistance near $78,000 and $80,000. Such levels are technical-analysis opinion and do not predict direction.

Scheduled events add uncertainty. U.S. midterm elections run Nov. 3–4, and the October jobs report is due Nov. 6. The jobs report carries extra weight because a strong report in June revived rate-hike fears and preceded the year's low. Pomegra put the Crypto Fear & Greed Index at 37, in the fear zone, although other outlets cite different readings on different dates.

Mudrex analyst Prateek Gupta, quoted by Analytics Insight, advised caution until ETF flows improve. Sources on the Fed's current policy rate conflict with each other, so this article does not rely on any of them.

The latest slide is best read as several pressures stacking in one week: a record theft at a major exchange, a wave of redemptions concentrated in one fund, forced selling of leveraged longs and a weak day for tech stocks. None of these alone explains a drop of this size, and the evidence does not rank them. What the numbers do show is a market still about 39% below its peak and sensitive to news that unsettles institutional confidence.

The coming days offer a few readable signals: whether ETF flows steady, whether Binance's withdrawals keep tapering and how the Nov. 6 jobs report lands. The 2026 pattern, a deep fall, a partial rebound and a renewed slide, suggests that macro conditions and flows will matter at least as much as any single headline.

Frequently asked questions

Why is Bitcoin falling toward $76,000?

Most outlets tie the latest drop to the Oct. 29 Binance hack of about $6.3 billion. Large spot ETF outflows, liquidations of leveraged long positions and a weak Nasdaq on Nov. 2 are cited as amplifiers. No study has isolated how much each factor contributed.

What do spot Bitcoin ETF outflows mean?

A net outflow means redemptions exceeded creations on that day. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $398.6 million in net outflows on Nov. 2, nearly all from BlackRock's IBIT, which is about 0.4% of the funds' roughly $98.6 billion in assets. Issuers may need to sell bitcoin to meet redemptions, but outflows also tend to follow falling prices, so cause and effect are tangled.

How far is Bitcoin from its all-time high?

The record is about $126,210, set on Oct. 6, 2025. At $76,455 the price is about $49,755, or 39.4%, below it, and it would need a gain of about 65% to return. The exact figures shift with the data feed and the hour.

Was the Binance hack the only cause of the drop?

The evidence does not support a single cause. The timing matches closely, since Bitcoin fell about 5% on Oct. 30 as news spread, but ETF redemptions, liquidations and tech-stock weakness occurred at the same time. Binance's net outflow after reopening was 2.1% of its assets, which may limit the damage, though it is too early to know.

What levels are analysts watching?

Analysts cited by crypto.news see support near $76,400 to $76,500, then $75,000 and the 50-week moving average near $75,602, with resistance near $78,000 and $80,000. The October jobs report on Nov. 6 and the midterm results are the scheduled events. These levels are opinion, not evidence of where the price will go.

Sources

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This article was drafted with the help of AI and reviewed by Jaroha editors before publication.

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